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THE INVERSE FISHER TRANSFORM
By John Ehlers

The purpose of technical indicators is to help with your timing decisions to buy or sell. Hopefully, the signals are clear and unequivocal. However, more often than not your decision to pull the trigger is accompanied by crossing your fingers. Even if you have placed only a few trades you know the drill.

In this article I will show you a way to make your oscillator-type indicators make clear black-or-white indication of the time to buy or sell. I will do this by using the Inverse Fisher Transform to alter the Probability Distribution Function (PDF) of your indicators. In the past I have noted that the PDF of price and indicators do not have a Gaussian, or Normal, probability distribution. A Gaussian PDF is the familiar bell-shaped curve where the long “tails” mean that wide deviations from the mean occur with relatively low probability. The Fisher Transform can be applied to almost any normalized data set to make the resulting PDF nearly Gaussian, with the result that the turning points are sharply peaked and easy to identify.
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Setup:

* Open up a daily chart on EUR/JPY.
* Apply Bill Willam’s Accelerator Oscillator (AC).
* Apply Stochastic with setting 5,3,3 on top of AC. Use the template if don’t know how to.
* Try and use demo MT4 from ODL securities. Every broker has different time when they start a new daily candle.
* ODL seems to have the time that works best. I only use their demo account for charts and place my trades on totally different broker.

Short Entry: RED AC below 0 and Stot below 0
Long Entry: Green AC above 0 and Stot above 0
Exit: OppsiteBuy/Sell signal or as per Money Management.
Filter: Apply 200SMA. If price is below 200SMA then only take short trades. If Price is above 200SMA then only take long trades.

Money Management:

* Trade with 5 Lots with Stop Loss 100 pips away
* Take Profit on 1st Lot at 50 pips. Move Stop Loss to Break Even (BE).
* Take Profit on 2nd Lot at 100 pips.
* Take Profit on 3rd Lot at 150 pips.
* Take Profit on 4th Lot at 200 pips.
* Let the 5th Lot run until you see an opposite entry signal.
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